Player projectionsMLBFri, Aug 14 · 14 games
Total bases
Contact quality and extra-base rate against tonight's staff, adjusted for the park.
Board open
Model run 2:30 PM ET
- Lineups confirmed 0 of 13
- 229 projections on partial inputs
- Umpires assigned 0 of 13
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.300
Sample118 G · 474 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.85
P25 – P751.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.70
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
023.9%
127.8%
220.5%
311.9%
4+15.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample94 G · 351 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.93
Season baseline1.72
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.05
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.1%
121.4%
215.8%
38.0%
4+22.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.268
Sample101 G · 399 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.86
Season baseline1.93
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.4%
124.9%
214.6%
37.3%
4+21.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.263
Sample120 G · 456 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.81
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.01
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.1%
124.4%
215.0%
35.5%
4+22.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.241
Sample90 G · 293 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.47
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.08
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.2%
121.9%
213.3%
35.0%
4+23.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.244
Sample89 G · 245 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.67
Season baseline1.20
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.7%
122.9%
214.1%
34.7%
4+20.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.236
Sample92 G · 326 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.69
Season baseline1.58
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.03
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.8%
122.0%
211.5%
33.9%
4+22.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.4
Rate per opportunity0.270
Sample104 G · 307 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.36
Season baseline1.20
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.45
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.7%
126.4%
219.8%
38.9%
4+9.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.229
Sample89 G · 317 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.62
Season baseline1.49
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.99
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
041.5%
120.7%
212.7%
33.6%
4+21.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.257
Sample92 G · 290 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.52
Season baseline1.33
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.74
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.8%
126.3%
216.4%
36.0%
4+15.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.278
Sample122 G · 443 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.43
Season baseline1.40
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.47
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
030.3%
132.3%
218.6%
38.9%
4+10.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.4
Rate per opportunity0.247
Sample74 G · 214 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.51
Season baseline1.22
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.85
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.3%
126.3%
212.4%
33.7%
4+18.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.227
Sample117 G · 389 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.33
Season baseline1.03
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.52
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.2%
128.8%
215.9%
37.6%
4+10.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.4
Rate per opportunity0.233
Sample65 G · 200 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.24
Season baseline1.00
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.50
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
042.0%
124.8%
217.4%
35.8%
4+10.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.2
Rate per opportunity0.231
Sample58 G · 181 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.26
Season baseline1.05
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.63
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
043.8%
125.7%
213.4%
34.0%
4+13.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances2.8
Rate per opportunity0.221
Sample96 G · 309 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.11
Season baseline1.08
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median0.00
Standard deviation1.54
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
050.1%
122.0%
213.2%
33.3%
4+11.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.1
Rate per opportunity0.258
Sample85 G · 184 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.08
Season baseline0.75
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.28
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
041.2%
131.6%
215.9%
35.0%
4+6.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.4
Rate per opportunity0.264
Sample104 G · 357 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.29
Season baseline1.92
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median2.00
Standard deviation2.28
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
027.0%
121.2%
214.6%
38.1%
4+29.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.3
Rate per opportunity0.270
Sample106 G · 380 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.95
Season baseline1.81
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.93
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
026.7%
124.4%
217.8%
310.6%
4+20.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample83 G · 284 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.11
Season baseline1.88
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.24
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.0%
121.3%
213.3%
37.0%
4+27.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.274
Sample117 G · 458 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.89
Season baseline1.83
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.88
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
026.5%
126.0%
218.7%
39.6%
4+19.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.260
Sample121 G · 470 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.00
Season baseline2.13
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.19
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.7%
120.2%
214.4%
35.0%
4+26.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.245
Sample118 G · 444 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.90
Season baseline1.81
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.05
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
034.2%
119.9%
213.7%
310.0%
4+22.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample116 G · 430 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.05
Season baseline2.00
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.25
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.5%
120.7%
212.5%
35.3%
4+27.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.293
Sample120 G · 435 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.99
Season baseline2.25
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.12
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.3%
124.1%
214.7%
35.4%
4+25.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.254
Sample114 G · 437 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.96
Season baseline2.05
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.14
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.3%
121.2%
214.5%
35.5%
4+25.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.0
Rate per opportunity0.228
Sample9 G · 33 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.79
Season baseline1.44
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.19
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
046.6%
17.9%
216.3%
32.0%
4+27.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.254
Sample70 G · 273 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.91
Season baseline1.80
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.04
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.8%
123.8%
215.6%
37.4%
4+22.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.260
Sample88 G · 361 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.87
Season baseline1.93
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
029.2%
125.6%
217.2%
37.3%
4+20.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.272
Sample112 G · 432 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.93
Season baseline2.10
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.06
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.8%
124.1%
215.2%
36.5%
4+23.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample119 G · 451 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.95
Season baseline2.05
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.10
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.3%
123.7%
214.4%
36.3%
4+24.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample110 G · 316 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.03
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.22
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
032.3%
123.0%
212.2%
35.1%
4+27.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.251
Sample116 G · 465 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.87
Season baseline1.80
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.9%
124.6%
215.8%
37.4%
4+21.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.261
Sample93 G · 376 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.91
Season baseline2.01
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.08
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.9%
123.9%
214.9%
35.6%
4+23.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.240
Sample111 G · 414 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.01
Season baseline2.02
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.27
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
035.2%
121.0%
211.3%
33.9%
4+28.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.271
Sample103 G · 404 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.00
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.71
Season baseline1.76
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.76
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
029.2%
127.2%
218.9%
38.7%
4+16.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.248
Sample114 G · 452 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.84
Season baseline1.89
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.04
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.7%
122.7%
215.1%
35.9%
4+22.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.246
Sample107 G · 318 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.86
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.08
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
034.3%
122.2%
214.4%
35.6%
4+23.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.237
Sample85 G · 303 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.00
Season baseline1.89
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.29
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
037.3%
119.2%
210.8%
33.1%
4+29.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.269
Sample96 G · 305 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.84
Season baseline1.67
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.99
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.8%
125.8%
215.3%
36.7%
4+21.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.269
Sample116 G · 441 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.67
Season baseline1.68
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.75
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.7%
126.4%
218.0%
38.9%
4+15.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.249
Sample108 G · 392 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.72
Season baseline1.72
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.95
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
036.9%
120.4%
215.9%
36.6%
4+20.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.262
Sample120 G · 456 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.92
Season baseline2.10
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.14
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.5%
124.0%
212.5%
34.4%
4+25.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.251
Sample118 G · 448 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.76
Season baseline1.75
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.95
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.5%
124.0%
215.4%
36.8%
4+20.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.244
Sample59 G · 214 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.90
Season baseline1.93
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.18
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
037.2%
120.4%
212.1%
33.7%
4+26.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample111 G · 382 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.02
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.4%
124.3%
214.1%
35.7%
4+22.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.257
Sample115 G · 451 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.68
Season baseline1.76
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.81
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
032.4%
125.4%
217.3%
38.0%
4+16.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.235
Sample118 G · 439 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.76
Season baseline1.74
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.03
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
037.5%
120.2%
214.7%
35.2%
4+22.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample74 G · 293 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.75
Season baseline1.88
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.86
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
029.8%
128.1%
216.7%
37.0%
4+18.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.242
Sample67 G · 247 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.61
Season baseline1.60
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.77
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
035.3%
122.7%
218.3%
37.7%
4+16.0%
bar length = chance of 2+darker portion = 3+
Showing 50 projections