Player projectionsMLBSat, Aug 15 · 15 games
Total bases
Contact quality and extra-base rate against tonight's staff, adjusted for the park.
Board open
Model run 3:10 PM ET
- Lineups confirmed 0 of 12
- 234 projections on partial inputs
- Umpires assigned 0 of 12
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.237
Sample15 G · 44 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.80
Season baseline1.40
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
038.5%
112.3%
222.0%
35.2%
4+22.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.3
Rate per opportunity0.268
Sample107 G · 385 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.94
Season baseline1.79
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.93
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
027.0%
124.5%
217.7%
310.5%
4+20.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.3
Rate per opportunity0.227
Sample10 G · 34 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.94
Season baseline1.30
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.27
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
How the night could go
043.7%
18.1%
216.7%
32.2%
4+29.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.300
Sample119 G · 478 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.84
P25 – P751.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.69
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
023.9%
127.9%
220.5%
311.9%
4+15.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.255
Sample83 G · 335 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.08
Season baseline2.19
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.24
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.3%
121.2%
213.4%
35.2%
4+27.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample94 G · 351 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.92
Season baseline1.72
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.05
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.1%
121.4%
215.8%
38.0%
4+22.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.234
Sample52 G · 106 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.89
Season baseline0.96
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.11
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.3%
117.1%
216.9%
35.3%
4+24.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.247
Sample119 G · 448 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.90
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.04
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.9%
120.0%
214.0%
310.1%
4+22.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.259
Sample122 G · 474 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.00
Season baseline2.12
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.19
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.8%
120.2%
214.4%
34.9%
4+26.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.266
Sample120 G · 453 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.94
Season baseline2.03
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.09
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.6%
123.7%
214.3%
36.2%
4+24.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.248
Sample84 G · 288 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.92
Season baseline1.86
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.13
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.6%
121.5%
212.7%
36.4%
4+24.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.271
Sample97 G · 309 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.85
Season baseline1.68
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.98
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
030.5%
125.7%
215.6%
36.9%
4+21.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.240
Sample111 G · 414 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.01
Season baseline2.02
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.27
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.2%
121.0%
211.3%
33.9%
4+28.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample102 G · 402 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.85
Season baseline1.91
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.6%
124.9%
214.6%
37.3%
4+21.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.256
Sample54 G · 178 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.66
Season baseline1.61
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.75
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.7%
123.9%
218.0%
39.7%
4+15.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.248
Sample117 G · 432 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.00
Season baseline2.01
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.27
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.4%
121.6%
210.4%
33.4%
4+29.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.263
Sample121 G · 460 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.81
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.1%
124.6%
215.0%
35.5%
4+21.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.261
Sample121 G · 460 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.91
Season baseline2.08
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.14
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.7%
124.0%
212.4%
34.4%
4+25.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample122 G · 457 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.80
Season baseline1.79
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.01
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.2%
124.7%
214.8%
35.4%
4+21.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.242
Sample67 G · 247 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.61
Season baseline1.60
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.77
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.3%
122.7%
218.3%
37.7%
4+16.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.278
Sample116 G · 458 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.69
Season baseline1.83
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.76
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
028.5%
129.5%
218.2%
37.7%
4+16.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.265
Sample121 G · 471 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.63
Season baseline1.65
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.69
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
029.5%
128.6%
218.7%
38.6%
4+14.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.242
Sample91 G · 296 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.81
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.08
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.1%
122.2%
213.3%
35.0%
4+23.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample123 G · 430 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.75
Season baseline1.73
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.4%
122.2%
213.9%
35.7%
4+21.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.283
Sample94 G · 336 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.55
Season baseline1.62
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.59
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
030.4%
128.3%
219.9%
39.0%
4+12.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.246
Sample119 G · 490 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.68
Season baseline1.64
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.81
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.1%
127.8%
217.0%
37.2%
4+17.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.268
Sample119 G · 422 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.61
Season baseline1.60
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.70
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
030.5%
128.4%
218.3%
38.3%
4+14.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.241
Sample120 G · 465 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.71
Season baseline1.63
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.89
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.7%
126.3%
215.6%
36.7%
4+18.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.235
Sample122 G · 458 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.69
Season baseline1.75
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.95
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.4%
121.7%
215.2%
35.5%
4+20.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.220
Sample96 G · 285 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.77
Season baseline1.27
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.07
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
038.2%
121.1%
212.0%
35.8%
4+22.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.266
Sample105 G · 398 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.57
Season baseline1.68
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.69
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
How the night could go
031.9%
128.4%
217.8%
37.5%
4+14.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.239
Sample61 G · 219 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.62
Season baseline1.43
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.80
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.3%
127.1%
216.5%
36.4%
4+16.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample75 G · 229 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.53
Season baseline1.37
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.71
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.6%
124.8%
218.0%
36.9%
4+14.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.3
Rate per opportunity0.226
Sample72 G · 267 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.64
Season baseline1.38
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.86
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.5%
126.1%
215.7%
35.9%
4+17.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.227
Sample79 G · 210 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.70
Season baseline1.06
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.7%
124.9%
214.0%
34.9%
4+20.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.243
Sample90 G · 247 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.66
Season baseline1.19
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.9%
122.8%
214.1%
34.6%
4+20.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.265
Sample112 G · 427 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.49
Season baseline1.65
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.57
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
032.2%
128.6%
218.5%
38.9%
4+11.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.264
Sample60 G · 206 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.62
Season baseline1.70
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.83
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.5%
126.3%
215.4%
36.2%
4+17.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.265
Sample118 G · 431 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.62
Season baseline1.62
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.78
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.9%
129.0%
216.1%
36.6%
4+16.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.242
Sample88 G · 323 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.57
Season baseline1.57
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.81
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.1%
123.9%
216.0%
36.2%
4+16.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.221
Sample120 G · 447 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.64
Season baseline1.54
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.1%
122.5%
213.6%
34.4%
4+20.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.229
Sample90 G · 321 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.63
Season baseline1.50
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.99
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
041.4%
120.3%
213.0%
33.8%
4+21.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.242
Sample21 G · 66 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.65
Season baseline1.52
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.7%
124.2%
213.3%
34.3%
4+20.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.237
Sample93 G · 329 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.68
Season baseline1.57
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.02
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.6%
122.3%
211.6%
33.9%
4+22.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.244
Sample70 G · 262 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.60
Season baseline1.60
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.86
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.4%
125.7%
214.2%
35.5%
4+18.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.4
Rate per opportunity0.269
Sample105 G · 310 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.35
Season baseline1.19
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.45
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.9%
126.4%
219.7%
38.8%
4+9.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.257
Sample93 G · 294 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.51
Season baseline1.32
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.73
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.8%
126.5%
216.5%
36.0%
4+15.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.237
Sample86 G · 282 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.67
Season baseline1.48
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.97
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.9%
125.4%
212.2%
34.4%
4+21.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.253
Sample122 G · 468 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.55
Season baseline1.65
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.79
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.4%
127.0%
215.5%
35.5%
4+16.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample118 G · 435 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.50
Season baseline1.56
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.73
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.5%
126.1%
216.1%
36.2%
4+15.1%
bar length = chance of 2+darker portion = 3+
Showing 50 projections