Player projectionsMLBSat, Aug 15 · 15 games
Total bases
Contact quality and extra-base rate against tonight's staff, adjusted for the park.
Board open
Model run 11:35 AM ET
- Lineups confirmed 0 of 15
- 268 projections on partial inputs
- Umpires assigned 0 of 15
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.270
Sample17 G · 48 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.15
Season baseline2.35
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median2.00
Standard deviation2.23
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.4%
117.5%
216.9%
36.1%
4+28.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.264
Sample122 G · 461 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.96
Season baseline2.02
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.10
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.7%
122.7%
214.1%
37.4%
4+24.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample118 G · 457 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.83
Season baseline1.88
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.95
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
029.9%
126.2%
216.7%
36.8%
4+20.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.238
Sample86 G · 306 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.02
Season baseline1.92
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.31
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.2%
119.0%
210.6%
33.0%
4+30.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.254
Sample113 G · 433 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.86
Season baseline1.93
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.06
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
033.7%
122.8%
214.4%
35.9%
4+23.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.239
Sample119 G · 444 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.81
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.08
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.7%
119.9%
214.7%
35.2%
4+23.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.268
Sample121 G · 460 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.73
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.84
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.0%
125.7%
217.7%
37.7%
4+17.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.253
Sample77 G · 200 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.62
Season baseline1.09
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.73
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
031.7%
127.2%
217.8%
38.1%
4+15.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.261
Sample104 G · 395 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.69
Season baseline1.86
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.90
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.1%
125.3%
215.6%
35.7%
4+19.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.244
Sample107 G · 326 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.63
Season baseline1.29
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.82
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.8%
124.8%
216.2%
37.1%
4+17.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.264
Sample101 G · 349 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.54
Season baseline1.41
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.61
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
030.2%
129.8%
218.7%
38.6%
4+12.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.246
Sample119 G · 471 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.49
Season baseline1.58
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.69
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.9%
127.8%
216.6%
36.6%
4+14.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.246
Sample121 G · 457 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.47
Season baseline1.47
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.64
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.8%
128.0%
217.1%
36.8%
4+13.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.220
Sample115 G · 435 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.61
Season baseline1.63
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.00
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
042.1%
120.9%
211.9%
33.4%
4+21.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.224
Sample118 G · 429 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.50
Season baseline1.52
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.85
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
042.3%
121.3%
213.6%
34.9%
4+17.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.240
Sample54 G · 194 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.40
Season baseline1.37
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.60
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.9%
126.0%
215.8%
38.2%
4+12.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.3
Rate per opportunity0.257
Sample116 G · 321 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.35
Season baseline1.17
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.54
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
038.5%
125.6%
217.5%
37.7%
4+10.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.271
Sample118 G · 452 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.40
Season baseline1.63
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.55
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.2%
130.3%
216.9%
37.0%
4+11.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.4
Rate per opportunity0.267
Sample116 G · 428 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.36
Season baseline1.55
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.54
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.9%
129.3%
217.3%
36.4%
4+11.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.241
Sample116 G · 449 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.47
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.70
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
034.5%
130.7%
215.2%
34.9%
4+14.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.244
Sample121 G · 460 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.40
Season baseline1.49
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.63
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.9%
128.4%
215.6%
36.1%
4+13.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.3
Rate per opportunity0.235
Sample121 G · 418 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.43
Season baseline1.47
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.78
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
042.1%
123.5%
213.7%
34.1%
4+16.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.6
Rate per opportunity0.243
Sample45 G · 142 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.28
Season baseline1.13
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.42
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
037.6%
128.3%
216.4%
39.4%
4+8.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.251
Sample65 G · 242 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.39
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.61
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
035.3%
131.1%
215.7%
35.2%
4+12.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.254
Sample119 G · 474 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.24
Season baseline1.46
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.38
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
036.7%
130.2%
218.1%
37.1%
4+7.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.3
Rate per opportunity0.257
Sample35 G · 123 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.17
Season baseline1.37
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.33
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
038.3%
130.8%
217.6%
36.3%
4+7.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.0
Rate per opportunity0.225
Sample117 G · 399 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.28
Season baseline1.39
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.72
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
047.2%
122.5%
211.2%
34.2%
4+15.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.0
Rate per opportunity0.250
Sample27 G · 53 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.32
Season baseline0.96
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.70
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
042.8%
127.2%
211.7%
33.1%
4+15.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.3
Rate per opportunity0.251
Sample90 G · 286 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.20
Season baseline1.19
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.43
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.2%
131.4%
215.5%
34.9%
4+9.0%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.240
Sample114 G · 407 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.13
Season baseline1.15
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.28
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
039.1%
131.5%
216.8%
36.6%
4+6.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.1
Rate per opportunity0.237
Sample64 G · 167 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.13
Season baseline0.94
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.43
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
044.4%
126.8%
215.2%
34.7%
4+8.9%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.2
Rate per opportunity0.227
Sample65 G · 158 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.13
Season baseline0.79
P25 – P750.00 – 2.00
P10 – P900.00 – 3.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.46
Why this is flagged
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
How the night could go
044.7%
127.8%
213.7%
34.1%
4+9.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.4
Rate per opportunity0.264
Sample104 G · 357 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.29
Season baseline1.92
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median2.00
Standard deviation2.28
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
027.0%
121.2%
214.6%
38.1%
4+29.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.3
Rate per opportunity0.268
Sample107 G · 385 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.94
Season baseline1.79
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.93
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
027.0%
124.5%
217.7%
310.5%
4+20.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.300
Sample119 G · 478 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.82
Season baseline1.84
P25 – P751.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.69
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
023.9%
127.9%
220.5%
311.9%
4+15.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.255
Sample83 G · 335 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.12
Season baseline2.19
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.27
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.5%
121.1%
213.5%
35.4%
4+28.5%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.274
Sample117 G · 458 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
ParkNot applied
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.89
Season baseline1.83
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.88
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
026.5%
126.0%
218.7%
39.6%
4+19.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.248
Sample84 G · 288 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.96
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.09
Season baseline1.86
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.23
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.4%
121.3%
213.2%
36.9%
4+27.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample94 G · 351 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.03
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.92
Season baseline1.72
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.05
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
032.1%
121.4%
215.8%
38.0%
4+22.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.247
Sample119 G · 448 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.90
Season baseline1.82
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.04
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.9%
120.0%
214.0%
310.1%
4+22.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.7
Rate per opportunity0.259
Sample122 G · 474 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.01
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.00
Season baseline2.12
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.19
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.8%
120.2%
214.4%
34.9%
4+26.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.5
Rate per opportunity0.294
Sample121 G · 439 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.01
Season baseline2.27
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.13
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
030.2%
124.1%
214.6%
35.4%
4+25.8%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.0
Rate per opportunity0.227
Sample10 G · 34 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.79
Season baseline1.30
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 4.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.19
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Opposing starter unconfirmed — matchup uses a staff-average arm
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
046.6%
17.9%
216.3%
32.0%
4+27.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.254
Sample114 G · 437 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.96
Season baseline2.05
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.14
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.3%
121.2%
214.5%
35.5%
4+25.4%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.9
Rate per opportunity0.248
Sample117 G · 434 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.03
Season baseline1.98
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.24
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
033.9%
120.7%
212.5%
35.3%
4+27.7%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.2
Rate per opportunity0.260
Sample89 G · 365 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.86
Season baseline1.92
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation1.96
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
029.2%
125.7%
217.2%
37.3%
4+20.6%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.1
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample71 G · 277 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.89
Season baseline1.77
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.03
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.2%
123.8%
215.5%
37.3%
4+22.2%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.271
Sample113 G · 435 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.99
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.92
Season baseline2.08
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.06
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.0%
124.1%
215.1%
36.4%
4+23.3%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances3.8
Rate per opportunity0.266
Sample120 G · 453 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×0.98
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean1.94
Season baseline2.03
P25 – P750.00 – 3.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.09
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
031.6%
123.7%
214.3%
36.2%
4+24.1%
Opportunity
Expected plate appearances4.0
Rate per opportunity0.252
Sample111 G · 317 opp
Adjustments
OpponentUnconfirmed
Park×1.02
PlatoonThin split
UmpireUnassigned
Distribution
Mean2.03
Season baseline1.44
P25 – P750.00 – 4.00
P10 – P900.00 – 5.00
Median1.00
Standard deviation2.22
Why this is flagged
- Lineup not posted — batting order is projected from recent starts
- Partial matchup coverage — fewer than 200 tracked opportunities
- Home-plate umpire unassigned — no zone adjustment applied
How the night could go
032.4%
123.0%
212.2%
35.1%
4+27.3%
bar length = chance of 2+darker portion = 3+
Showing 50 projections