luckyduckstatsAs of 7:56 PM ET
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Player projectionsMLBMon, Aug 17 · 11 games

Total bases

Contact quality and extra-base rate against tonight's staff, adjusted for the park.

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Model run 7:35 PM ET

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Player
Matchup
Proj
vs season
2+ chance
3+
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Details

Not published yet

The Mon, Aug 17 board hasn't opened yet

Projections publish once the day's lineups are set and the model has enough completed games of current-season usage behind it. Nothing is estimated from last year alone.

Slate scheduledDone: 11 games
Completed games of current-season usageDone: 3 of 3
Model calibrated for total basesNot yet: Pending

Method

Projected from each player's own game log, his team's plate-appearance budget, the opposing starter and bullpen, the park and the home-plate umpire. No bookmaker odds are used anywhere in this model, so nothing here is a price or a recommendation. Model as of Aug 16, 7:35 PM ET.